Wednesday, April 27, 2011

Can Obama be Defeated? Two Views

Update: links have been fixed.
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Presidents Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton both had approval ratings close to, and even lower than the 45 percent level where Obama's popularity now stands, and both suffered big midterm setbacks in congressional elections. Both presidents went on to win re-election.
 
But unlike 1984 and 1996, things are dramatically different. Ronald Reagan was tough, an expert negotiator and was able to deal with Tip O'Neal, then Speaker of the House, to lower taxes and bring prosperity back to America. Bill Clinton, while maybe the kind of guy you would want to hang out with and have a beer, was as shady as Richard Nixon but a excellent campaigner and successful politician, in part because of the newly elected Republican House Speaker called his hand and presented him with the list of promises made to the people that helped usher in a republican controlled house in 1994. Clinton had the sense to sign the bills, and of course then take credit.
 
But Barack Obama is neither a great communicator nor the savvy politician his fore-mentioned predecessors were. Nor are the times similar. Obama took a bad situation and day by day has made it every increasingly worst, while ignoring the will of the people.

 Can the former community organizer/ back bench junior Senator who charismatically fooled America into believing he was the answer to America's problems, get re-elected to the most powerful office in the land?
 
I found two very interesting points of view on this subject.  It's going to be a very interesting 18 months till the election.

From Mary Poppet comes the view of one of my favorite columnist Dr. Walter Williams.

"Can President Obama be defeated in 2012? No. He can't. I am going on record as saying that President Barak Obama will win a second term. Nine percent unemployment? No problem. Obama will win. Gas prices moving toward five dollars a gallon? He still wins. The truth is, there simply are no conditions under which Barak Obama can be defeated in 2012. 
Obama's re-election is really a very, very simple math problem." 

Consider his 10 point presentation here No Matter What--Obama Wins in 2012. 


But on the other hand........
from Jeffery Lord over at the American Spectator.

President Obama will not be re-elected. Period. Why? Obamaflation has arrived, and this is what it looks like."
Milk. A gallon of skim. At the local Giant in Central Pennsylvania:
January 11, 2011: $3.20
February 28, 2011: $3.24
March 6, 2011: $3.34
April 23. 2011: $3.48
That would be a 28 cent rise in a mere 102 days, from January to April of this year. The third year of the Obama misadventure.
Then there's the celery. Same sized bag. Same store.
January 11, 2011: $1.99 a bag.
March 6, 2011: $2.49 a bag.
A rise of 50 cents in 54 days.
"WHAT SEEMS TO HAVE LEFT Obama strategists clueless is the fundamental historical fact that inflation comes slowly. Milk today, celery tomorrow, and gas almost every day. Then, too late, there's a collective gasp of recognition by Americans walking around the grocery store that it's no longer just the milk and the celery but the soup, the chicken, the hamburger and perhaps now critically -- the Excedrin."
"It is such moments that elect a Ronald Reagan in 1980.  

Consider the following here Obamaflation Arrives.
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5 comments:

  1. Let me start of off by saying I'm a regular reader of Dr. Williams' op/ed pieces. That said, I'm not certain of Dr. Williams motivation for writing this piece. Everything he said is true to some degree and on some levels. However, it tends to become analytically questionable ever so slightly when viewed in historical perspectives and recent experiences.

    I think the 2012 election will be close, a lot closer than it should be, all things considered, for the reasons laid out by Dr. Williams. All of Obama's really true believers will continue to support him. I see two reasons why Obama will fail to win in 2012 and they are not startling reasons.

    First, I believe there are enough disenchanted independent voters that will actually show up to vote AGAINST Obama.

    Second, I believe there are enough former marginal Obama voters that have become ambivalent toward Obama, that they will stay home rather than go out and vote for more of the same from a second Obama term.

    It will be a close election because so many of the groups that Dr. Williams addressed, desperately need Obama to win in order to maintain their government rewards feeding off the taxpayers at the public trough.

    If there is one thing that puzzles me, it concerns unions in general and public unions in particular. I sense a definite disenchantment on the part of public unions in particular as they seem to be losing ground in so many states that are successfully limiting their collective bargaining to only wages. With all the money unions have poured into Obama's campaign war chest since 2008, I believe unions are beginning to feel screwed over by Obama's lack of support in those states rolling back collective bargaining entitlements. The question then becomes one of just how much support unions will give Obama in 2012.

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  2. I thought I read (can't recall where at the moment) that the police and firefighters unions are withdrawing their support from the Democrats because they feel betrayed by the reduction of their negotiating rights. The next 18 months will be a roller coaster ride, but I still lean toward believing Obama will be re-elected, as much as it pains me to think so.

    Thanks for the link, Diogenes. :)

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  3. I'm hoping that Jeffrey Lord is right. The only thing I think that will net zero a second term is if the stupid party (GOP) puts forward yet another mealy mouthed milquetoast loser as they are prone to doing. Obama wins versus Suckabee, Mittens Romney, and most of the weenies being bandied about by the cocktail party, he loses if we can convince Allen West to run or Herman Cain gets the nomination. Sharing your post to the A-C page, BTW: https://www.facebook.com/pages/ANTI-CRAPTASTIC/127576023926747

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  4. Thanks Zilla. The link is appreciated.

    And thanks for the Facebook address because I don't do Facebook, but I can see your page now.

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  5. Remember the so-called silent majority? Well, I think it's back and although not on a march or involved in public displays of protest is waiting to state its will in November, 2012.

    The silent majority knows things are not right. It knows that we are under the oppression of the "soft tyranny" of Obamanation Upon The Nation, Inc.'s CEO who is a wannabe tyrant who at present doesn't know exactly how to transform his Chicago-styled thuggery into a dictatorship veiled as a "centrist" Demonrat.

    RHINOs will remain cautious and unsure of themselves and what is truly the will of the people so they will continue to attempt not to offend and remain "politically correct" in any criticism of the B.O. stench of liberalism.

    Demonrats will remain vicious, anti-America, anti-capitalism, anti-Constitutionalism, anti-Republic, anti-dismantling of the liberalistic plantation and its enslavement of the gimme slaves.

    The silent majority will avoid publicly expressing their views and disgust so as to mislead the pollsters who think that the SM's members either won't vote or don't care that much about what is happening around them.

    What a surprise it will be for the B.O. stench when he awakens to the eviction notice served upon him by the silent majority's overwhelming vote against him and his agendas.

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