Monday, May 23, 2016

Political Primary Turnout No Indication of General Election Victory

For all those who believe that party turnout in the primary is predictive of general election victory in the Fall, a corrective. From Larry Sabato:

By the way, 1972, 1980 and 1984 weren't just Republican victories. They were smashing, devastating defeats for the Democrats. 1972 and 1984 are, in fact, the two biggest electoral college victories of all time. 1984 was 525-13, a total blowout.